Recent model consensus from sources including China's Central Meteorological Administration points to a 33°C high in Shenzhen on September 19, supported by partly cloudy to sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 65-75%. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where diurnal heating peaks near 31-33°C absent strong monsoon influence or typhoon activity. Trader emphasis on 33°C (34.5% implied probability) versus 32°C or 34°C reflects minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze moderation, and exact urban-station readings amid stable high pressure. Upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from regional models will likely refine these narrow spreads before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 19. September?
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
32°C 24%
31°C 11%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
24%
33°C
35%
34°C
29%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
32°C 24%
31°C 11%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
28°C oder niedriger
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$63 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$5 Vol.
11%
32°C
$34 Vol.
24%
33°C
$248 Vol.
35%
34°C
$100 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C oder höher
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including China's Central Meteorological Administration points to a 33°C high in Shenzhen on September 19, supported by partly cloudy to sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 65-75%. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where diurnal heating peaks near 31-33°C absent strong monsoon influence or typhoon activity. Trader emphasis on 33°C (34.5% implied probability) versus 32°C or 34°C reflects minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze moderation, and exact urban-station readings amid stable high pressure. Upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from regional models will likely refine these narrow spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$858Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including China's Central Meteorological Administration points to a 33°C high in Shenzhen on September 19, supported by partly cloudy to sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 65-75%. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where diurnal heating peaks near 31-33°C absent strong monsoon influence or typhoon activity. Trader emphasis on 33°C (34.5% implied probability) versus 32°C or 34°C reflects minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze moderation, and exact urban-station readings amid stable high pressure. Upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from regional models will likely refine these narrow spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$858Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including China's Central Meteorological Administration points to a 33°C high in Shenzhen on September 19, supported by partly cloudy to sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 65-75%. This aligns with late-September subtropical patterns where diurnal heating peaks near 31-33°C absent strong monsoon influence or typhoon activity. Trader emphasis on 33°C (34.5% implied probability) versus 32°C or 34°C reflects minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze moderation, and exact urban-station readings amid stable high pressure. Upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from regional models will likely refine these narrow spreads before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen