Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 point to fine, dry conditions under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone, with daytime highs in the 27–32°C range and low precipitation probability. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with market-implied odds where 31°C leads at 46% and 32°C follows at 31%. Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, and relative humidity of 55–85% support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. Traders appear to weigh the official 32°C upper bound against recent observations showing highs near 31°C amid similar synoptic patterns, while noting typical September climatology around 31°C and potential for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. September?
31°C 46%
32°C 31%
30°C 16%
29°C 6%
NEU
$11,128 Vol.
NEU
$11,128 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
46%
32°C
31%
33°C
4%
34°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 31%
30°C 16%
29°C 6%
NEU
$11,128 Vol.
NEU
$11,128 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$339 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$551 Vol.
1%
29°C
$743 Vol.
6%
30°C
$2,036 Vol.
16%
31°C
$1,215 Vol.
46%
32°C
$3,577 Vol.
31%
33°C
$391 Vol.
4%
34°C oder höher
$1,129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 point to fine, dry conditions under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone, with daytime highs in the 27–32°C range and low precipitation probability. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with market-implied odds where 31°C leads at 46% and 32°C follows at 31%. Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, and relative humidity of 55–85% support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. Traders appear to weigh the official 32°C upper bound against recent observations showing highs near 31°C amid similar synoptic patterns, while noting typical September climatology around 31°C and potential for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$11,128Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 point to fine, dry conditions under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone, with daytime highs in the 27–32°C range and low precipitation probability. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with market-implied odds where 31°C leads at 46% and 32°C follows at 31%. Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, and relative humidity of 55–85% support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. Traders appear to weigh the official 32°C upper bound against recent observations showing highs near 31°C amid similar synoptic patterns, while noting typical September climatology around 31°C and potential for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,128Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 point to fine, dry conditions under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone, with daytime highs in the 27–32°C range and low precipitation probability. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C, aligning with market-implied odds where 31°C leads at 46% and 32°C follows at 31%. Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5, and relative humidity of 55–85% support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. Traders appear to weigh the official 32°C upper bound against recent observations showing highs near 31°C amid similar synoptic patterns, while noting typical September climatology around 31°C and potential for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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