Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with clear skies and light southerly winds, is sustaining extreme heat and positioning Dallas for a Friday high near 100°F according to National Weather Service and multiple model runs. Recent observations show consecutive days above 97°F amid a 62-day dry spell, with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime maxima. These conditions favor the market’s leading 98-99°F bin (56% implied probability) while keeping 96-97°F (32.5%) and 100-101°F (7.5%) as realistic alternatives depending on exact peak timing and local measurement variance at official stations. Updated model guidance and any late-day wind shifts could refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 18. September?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 3%
89°F oder niedriger
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 3%
89°F oder niedriger
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with clear skies and light southerly winds, is sustaining extreme heat and positioning Dallas for a Friday high near 100°F according to National Weather Service and multiple model runs. Recent observations show consecutive days above 97°F amid a 62-day dry spell, with strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime maxima. These conditions favor the market’s leading 98-99°F bin (56% implied probability) while keeping 96-97°F (32.5%) and 100-101°F (7.5%) as realistic alternatives depending on exact peak timing and local measurement variance at official stations. Updated model guidance and any late-day wind shifts could refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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