Recent National Weather Service and numerical weather model guidance point to a high temperature near 65°F for San Francisco on September 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus that limits daytime warming along the coast. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-September when the Pacific high strengthens and directs cooler air inland, supports the market’s concentration around the 66–69°F and 66–67°F bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk from offshore warming or subsidence, while downside scenarios tied to thicker fog or stronger winds keep lower bins lightly priced. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 16. September?
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 30%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
59°F oder niedriger
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F oder höher
<1%
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 30%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
59°F oder niedriger
$521 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$214 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$20 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$771 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$755 Vol.
30%
68-69°F
$1,637 Vol.
47%
70-71°F
$866 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$177 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$61 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
78°F oder höher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and numerical weather model guidance point to a high temperature near 65°F for San Francisco on September 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus that limits daytime warming along the coast. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-September when the Pacific high strengthens and directs cooler air inland, supports the market’s concentration around the 66–69°F and 66–67°F bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk from offshore warming or subsidence, while downside scenarios tied to thicker fog or stronger winds keep lower bins lightly priced. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,314Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and numerical weather model guidance point to a high temperature near 65°F for San Francisco on September 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus that limits daytime warming along the coast. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-September when the Pacific high strengthens and directs cooler air inland, supports the market’s concentration around the 66–69°F and 66–67°F bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk from offshore warming or subsidence, while downside scenarios tied to thicker fog or stronger winds keep lower bins lightly priced. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,314Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and numerical weather model guidance point to a high temperature near 65°F for San Francisco on September 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and marine-layer stratus that limits daytime warming along the coast. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-September when the Pacific high strengthens and directs cooler air inland, supports the market’s concentration around the 66–69°F and 66–67°F bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk from offshore warming or subsidence, while downside scenarios tied to thicker fog or stronger winds keep lower bins lightly priced. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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