Forecast models from agencies including Brazil’s INMET and international sources such as the Met Office and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum near 18 °C in São Paulo on September 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Persistent southeasterly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and modest dew points near 12–14 °C are limiting daytime heating and keeping surface temperatures several degrees below the September climatological average of roughly 24 °C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance capping the peak between 17 °C and 19 °C under stable steering patterns. Final resolution will hinge on the highest instantaneous reading recorded at official urban stations before midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 17. September?
18°C 38%
19°C 28%
17°C 22%
20°C 5%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
22%
18°C
38%
19°C
28%
20°C
5%
21°C oder höher
2%
18°C 38%
19°C 28%
17°C 22%
20°C 5%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
$1,242 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,209 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30 Vol.
2%
15°C
$219 Vol.
2%
16°C
$430 Vol.
4%
17°C
$1,042 Vol.
22%
18°C
$814 Vol.
38%
19°C
$989 Vol.
28%
20°C
$812 Vol.
5%
21°C oder höher
$751 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Brazil’s INMET and international sources such as the Met Office and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum near 18 °C in São Paulo on September 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Persistent southeasterly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and modest dew points near 12–14 °C are limiting daytime heating and keeping surface temperatures several degrees below the September climatological average of roughly 24 °C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance capping the peak between 17 °C and 19 °C under stable steering patterns. Final resolution will hinge on the highest instantaneous reading recorded at official urban stations before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,798Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Brazil’s INMET and international sources such as the Met Office and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum near 18 °C in São Paulo on September 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Persistent southeasterly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and modest dew points near 12–14 °C are limiting daytime heating and keeping surface temperatures several degrees below the September climatological average of roughly 24 °C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance capping the peak between 17 °C and 19 °C under stable steering patterns. Final resolution will hinge on the highest instantaneous reading recorded at official urban stations before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,798Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Brazil’s INMET and international sources such as the Met Office and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum near 18 °C in São Paulo on September 17, 2026, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Persistent southeasterly flow, extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover, and modest dew points near 12–14 °C are limiting daytime heating and keeping surface temperatures several degrees below the September climatological average of roughly 24 °C. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance capping the peak between 17 °C and 19 °C under stable steering patterns. Final resolution will hinge on the highest instantaneous reading recorded at official urban stations before midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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