Current forecast models from sources including Environment Canada and GFS ensembles project a daytime high in Toronto near 23–25 °C on September 16, driven by a southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon temperatures moderated by increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers. This narrow range underpins the near-tied 33.5% market-implied odds for 24 °C and 25 °C, while lower probabilities for 23 °C or 26 °C reflect minor model spread in maximum temperature and boundary-layer mixing. Official updates from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and additional high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 16. September?
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 16%
18°C oder niedriger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
4%
28°C oder höher
5%
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 16%
18°C oder niedriger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
4%
28°C oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including Environment Canada and GFS ensembles project a daytime high in Toronto near 23–25 °C on September 16, driven by a southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon temperatures moderated by increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers. This narrow range underpins the near-tied 33.5% market-implied odds for 24 °C and 25 °C, while lower probabilities for 23 °C or 26 °C reflect minor model spread in maximum temperature and boundary-layer mixing. Official updates from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and additional high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen