Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and typical late-summer atmospheric stability at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These conditions moderate surface heating compared with clearer skies, while dew points near 8–12°C and minimal precipitation support limited afternoon warming. Trader positioning favoring 25–26°C likely reflects residual model spread or slight upward bias from recent daily maxima near 25–26°C, though official guidance emphasizes the narrower 23–24°C range with low probability of exceeding 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 16. September?
25°C 43%
26°C 40%
24°C 11%
27°C oder höher 7%
17°C oder darunter
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
43%
26°C
40%
27°C oder höher
7%
25°C 43%
26°C 40%
24°C 11%
27°C oder höher 7%
17°C oder darunter
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
43%
26°C
40%
27°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and typical late-summer atmospheric stability at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These conditions moderate surface heating compared with clearer skies, while dew points near 8–12°C and minimal precipitation support limited afternoon warming. Trader positioning favoring 25–26°C likely reflects residual model spread or slight upward bias from recent daily maxima near 25–26°C, though official guidance emphasizes the narrower 23–24°C range with low probability of exceeding 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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