Recent forecast guidance from models such as GFS and agencies including the Met Office points to a Warsaw maximum of 18–20°C on September 17, driven by moderate westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with mid-September climatological norms for the city, where average highs hover near 16–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C outcomes captures this narrow range, with minimal odds assigned to 20°C or higher given the stable synoptic pattern. Hourly station readings through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 17. September?
19°C 55%
18°C 37%
20°C 11%
21°C <1%
$22,901 Vol.
$22,901 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
37%
19°C
55%
20°C
11%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 55%
18°C 37%
20°C 11%
21°C <1%
$22,901 Vol.
$22,901 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$11,999 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,625 Vol.
37%
19°C
$3,184 Vol.
55%
20°C
$1,821 Vol.
11%
21°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$439 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models such as GFS and agencies including the Met Office points to a Warsaw maximum of 18–20°C on September 17, driven by moderate westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with mid-September climatological norms for the city, where average highs hover near 16–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C outcomes captures this narrow range, with minimal odds assigned to 20°C or higher given the stable synoptic pattern. Hourly station readings through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$22,901Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models such as GFS and agencies including the Met Office points to a Warsaw maximum of 18–20°C on September 17, driven by moderate westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with mid-September climatological norms for the city, where average highs hover near 16–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C outcomes captures this narrow range, with minimal odds assigned to 20°C or higher given the stable synoptic pattern. Hourly station readings through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,901Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models such as GFS and agencies including the Met Office points to a Warsaw maximum of 18–20°C on September 17, driven by moderate westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align closely with mid-September climatological norms for the city, where average highs hover near 16–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 54% and 36.5% implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C outcomes captures this narrow range, with minimal odds assigned to 20°C or higher given the stable synoptic pattern. Hourly station readings through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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