**Stable high-pressure conditions and light southwesterly flow are positioning Warsaw for a daytime maximum near 21°C on September 19.** Multiple forecast sources, including Met Office, Open-Meteo-derived models, and regional guidance, converge on afternoon peaks of 20–21°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. Recent observations reinforce this: highs reached 24°C on the 16th before cooling to 20–21°C on the 17th–18th amid showers and clearer intervals. Minor model spread in peak timing and local station microclimates (e.g., official Warsaw readings versus nearby sites) supports the market’s emphasis on 22°C (59%) and 21°C (33%), while the low probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C reflect limited upside from insolation or downside from advection. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 19. September?
22°C 60%
21°C 33%
23°C 9%
20°C 2%
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
33%
22°C
60%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 33%
23°C 9%
20°C 2%
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
33%
22°C
60%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and light southwesterly flow are positioning Warsaw for a daytime maximum near 21°C on September 19.** Multiple forecast sources, including Met Office, Open-Meteo-derived models, and regional guidance, converge on afternoon peaks of 20–21°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. Recent observations reinforce this: highs reached 24°C on the 16th before cooling to 20–21°C on the 17th–18th amid showers and clearer intervals. Minor model spread in peak timing and local station microclimates (e.g., official Warsaw readings versus nearby sites) supports the market’s emphasis on 22°C (59%) and 21°C (33%), while the low probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C reflect limited upside from insolation or downside from advection. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen