Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 18. September?
29°C 48%
28°C 35%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
NEU
$14,281 Vol.
NEU
$14,281 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
35%
29°C
48%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 35%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
NEU
$14,281 Vol.
NEU
$14,281 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
$167 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$489 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,798 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4,449 Vol.
35%
29°C
$2,815 Vol.
48%
30°C
$1,208 Vol.
16%
31°C
$868 Vol.
3%
32°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$14,281Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,281Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen