A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft is maintaining fine, dry conditions over southern China, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. Clear skies overnight support radiative cooling consistent with mid-September climatology, where average minima near 26–27°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, keeping 26°C as a secondary possibility while suppressing odds for cooler or warmer extremes. Traders are weighting the stable synoptic pattern and recent dry-air advection, which reduce the likelihood of significant deviations from the 27°C threshold ahead of the overnight observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. September?
27°C 56%
26°C 36%
25°C 7%
28°C 4%
21°C oder darunter
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
36%
27°C
56%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
27°C 56%
26°C 36%
25°C 7%
28°C 4%
21°C oder darunter
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
36%
27°C
56%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft is maintaining fine, dry conditions over southern China, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5. Clear skies overnight support radiative cooling consistent with mid-September climatology, where average minima near 26–27°C. Model consensus shows limited variability, keeping 26°C as a secondary possibility while suppressing odds for cooler or warmer extremes. Traders are weighting the stable synoptic pattern and recent dry-air advection, which reduce the likelihood of significant deviations from the 27°C threshold ahead of the overnight observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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