Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 16, driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone aloft maintaining generally fine, dry conditions with light easterly winds. Official readings from stations across the territory, including the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, show overnight and early morning values holding near this level amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation probability. This consensus from verified meteorological data underpins the market's strong 93% implied probability for a 27°C low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud buildup or a late model revision increasing moisture, potentially allowing a dip toward 26°C before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. September?
27 °C 95%
26°C 6%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$13,095 Vol.
$13,095 Vol.
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27 °C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
27 °C 95%
26°C 6%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$13,095 Vol.
$13,095 Vol.
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27 °C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 16, driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone aloft maintaining generally fine, dry conditions with light easterly winds. Official readings from stations across the territory, including the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, show overnight and early morning values holding near this level amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation probability. This consensus from verified meteorological data underpins the market's strong 93% implied probability for a 27°C low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud buildup or a late model revision increasing moisture, potentially allowing a dip toward 26°C before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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