Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 16. September?
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
20°C 16%
23°C 16%
NEU
$11,839 Vol.
NEU
$11,839 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
9%
20°C
16%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
20°C 16%
23°C 16%
NEU
$11,839 Vol.
NEU
$11,839 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$1,267 Vol.
9%
20°C
$1,332 Vol.
16%
21°C
$1,392 Vol.
26%
22°C
$1,373 Vol.
25%
23°C
$4,171 Vol.
16%
24°C
$1,039 Vol.
5%
25°C
$211 Vol.
3%
26°C
$112 Vol.
1%
27°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$11,839Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,839Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing are the dominant factors capping daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from multiple models showing highs clustered between 20–26 °C under light winds and high humidity. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, aligning trader consensus with the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes that together exceed 49 % implied probability. September climatology for the region typically features warmer maxima near 27 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by steady precipitation and stable stratification—has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and any late changes in rainfall timing or intensity remain the key variables that could nudge the observed high across the narrow 20–23 °C thresholds still in play.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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