Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 15. September?
23°C 32%
22°C 29%
24°C 22%
20°C oder weniger 14%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
14%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
32%
24°C
22%
25°C
10%
26 °C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
1%
23°C 32%
22°C 29%
24°C 22%
20°C oder weniger 14%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
14%
21°C
$295 Vol.
9%
22°C
$708 Vol.
29%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$61 Vol.
22%
25°C
$259 Vol.
10%
26 °C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$25 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1 Vol.
1%
30°C oder höher
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volumen
$1,060Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,060Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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