Recent high-pressure ridging over northern New Zealand and northerly winds are supporting mild conditions for Wellington on September 15, with official and model guidance centering on daytime maxima of 15–16°C, modestly above the mid-September climatological average near 13–14°C. Northerly flow advects warmer air masses while variable cloud cover and wind speeds near 15–30 km/h influence the precise peak; stronger mixing or increased cloud could cap readings at 15°C, whereas clearer skies favor 16°C. The tight market spread between these outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of final MetService updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. September?
16°C 49%
15°C 41%
17°C 8%
14°C 6%
11°C oder darunter
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
41%
16°C
49%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
1%
16°C 49%
15°C 41%
17°C 8%
14°C 6%
11°C oder darunter
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
41%
16°C
49%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging over northern New Zealand and northerly winds are supporting mild conditions for Wellington on September 15, with official and model guidance centering on daytime maxima of 15–16°C, modestly above the mid-September climatological average near 13–14°C. Northerly flow advects warmer air masses while variable cloud cover and wind speeds near 15–30 km/h influence the precise peak; stronger mixing or increased cloud could cap readings at 15°C, whereas clearer skies favor 16°C. The tight market spread between these outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of final MetService updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen