**Forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 9–10°C for Wellington on September 15, with trader odds clustered tightly around those levels amid moderate uncertainty.** Northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while Wellington’s topography and proximity to the sea moderate extremes. Recent ECMWF and local guidance show highs near 15°C under increasing northerly flow, but clearer intervals could allow the temperature to dip toward the lower end of the range. Historical September minima average around 9–10°C, providing context for the current setup. Key variables include cloud-cover evolution and any late-model adjustments from MetService before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. September?
15°C oder höher 49%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
9°C 31%
5°C oder niedriger
2%
6°C
2%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
31%
10°C
30%
11°C
22%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
13%
15°C oder höher
49%
15°C oder höher 49%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
9°C 31%
5°C oder niedriger
2%
6°C
2%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
31%
10°C
30%
11°C
22%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
13%
15°C oder höher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 9–10°C for Wellington on September 15, with trader odds clustered tightly around those levels amid moderate uncertainty.** Northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while Wellington’s topography and proximity to the sea moderate extremes. Recent ECMWF and local guidance show highs near 15°C under increasing northerly flow, but clearer intervals could allow the temperature to dip toward the lower end of the range. Historical September minima average around 9–10°C, providing context for the current setup. Key variables include cloud-cover evolution and any late-model adjustments from MetService before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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