Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 17, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and tropical moisture, which cap daytime heating and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. High humidity levels above 80 percent, combined with reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, suppress surface warming compared to clearer conditions, while light variable winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows only modest variability, keeping probabilities clustered around 31–32 °C as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus sustained rain. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 17. September?
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
34°C 18%
29°C 15%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
14%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C oder höher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
34°C 18%
29°C 15%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
$117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$8 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
31%
32°C
$31 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
18%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C oder höher
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 17, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and tropical moisture, which cap daytime heating and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. High humidity levels above 80 percent, combined with reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, suppress surface warming compared to clearer conditions, while light variable winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows only modest variability, keeping probabilities clustered around 31–32 °C as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus sustained rain. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$268Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 17, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and tropical moisture, which cap daytime heating and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. High humidity levels above 80 percent, combined with reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, suppress surface warming compared to clearer conditions, while light variable winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows only modest variability, keeping probabilities clustered around 31–32 °C as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus sustained rain. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$268Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 17, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and tropical moisture, which cap daytime heating and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. High humidity levels above 80 percent, combined with reduced solar insolation from extensive cloud decks, suppress surface warming compared to clearer conditions, while light variable winds offer minimal mixing. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows only modest variability, keeping probabilities clustered around 31–32 °C as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus sustained rain. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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