Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 25–26°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while delivering brief cooling from rainfall. These conditions align with typical September monsoon patterns in the region, where daytime highs reach 29–31°C before evening stabilization around 25°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for 25°C or 20°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise observational minima, influenced by variables like exact storm timing, local urban heat effects, and measurement thresholds at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface data will clarify whether convective activity pushes the low lower than baseline expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 17. September?
20°C oder weniger 100%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
100%
21°C
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
92%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
20°C oder weniger 100%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
100%
21°C
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$83 Vol.
90%
24°C
$83 Vol.
92%
25°C
$12 Vol.
50%
26°C
$2,594 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 25–26°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while delivering brief cooling from rainfall. These conditions align with typical September monsoon patterns in the region, where daytime highs reach 29–31°C before evening stabilization around 25°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for 25°C or 20°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise observational minima, influenced by variables like exact storm timing, local urban heat effects, and measurement thresholds at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface data will clarify whether convective activity pushes the low lower than baseline expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$2,872Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 25–26°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while delivering brief cooling from rainfall. These conditions align with typical September monsoon patterns in the region, where daytime highs reach 29–31°C before evening stabilization around 25°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for 25°C or 20°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise observational minima, influenced by variables like exact storm timing, local urban heat effects, and measurement thresholds at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface data will clarify whether convective activity pushes the low lower than baseline expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,872Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely settle near 25–26°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while delivering brief cooling from rainfall. These conditions align with typical September monsoon patterns in the region, where daytime highs reach 29–31°C before evening stabilization around 25°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for 25°C or 20°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise observational minima, influenced by variables like exact storm timing, local urban heat effects, and measurement thresholds at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time surface data will clarify whether convective activity pushes the low lower than baseline expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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