**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 18 high temperature centers on the narrow 22–24 °C band because current model runs and recent observations show only modest daytime warming under persistent southeasterly flow.** High pressure and onshore winds have kept the city cooler than seasonal norms, with highs on the 16th–17th limited to the mid-teens °C amid widespread cloud cover and dew points near 12–14 °C. Forecasts for the 18th converge on afternoon peaks of 22–24 °C as gradual warming occurs, yet thick low- to mid-level clouds and light-to-moderate easterly winds are expected to cap insolation and prevent stronger heating. Small differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which explains why the three central outcomes command roughly equal implied probability while tails remain thin. Updated model guidance and real-time observations on the morning of the 18th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 18. September?
22°C 30%
23°C 30%
24°C 30%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
15°C oder darunter
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
30%
24°C
30%
25°C oder höher
5%
22°C 30%
23°C 30%
24°C 30%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
15°C oder darunter
$369 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$7 Vol.
5%
21°C
$45 Vol.
10%
22°C
$6 Vol.
30%
23°C
$12 Vol.
30%
24°C
$363 Vol.
30%
25°C oder höher
$3 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 18 high temperature centers on the narrow 22–24 °C band because current model runs and recent observations show only modest daytime warming under persistent southeasterly flow.** High pressure and onshore winds have kept the city cooler than seasonal norms, with highs on the 16th–17th limited to the mid-teens °C amid widespread cloud cover and dew points near 12–14 °C. Forecasts for the 18th converge on afternoon peaks of 22–24 °C as gradual warming occurs, yet thick low- to mid-level clouds and light-to-moderate easterly winds are expected to cap insolation and prevent stronger heating. Small differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which explains why the three central outcomes command roughly equal implied probability while tails remain thin. Updated model guidance and real-time observations on the morning of the 18th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,044Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 18 high temperature centers on the narrow 22–24 °C band because current model runs and recent observations show only modest daytime warming under persistent southeasterly flow.** High pressure and onshore winds have kept the city cooler than seasonal norms, with highs on the 16th–17th limited to the mid-teens °C amid widespread cloud cover and dew points near 12–14 °C. Forecasts for the 18th converge on afternoon peaks of 22–24 °C as gradual warming occurs, yet thick low- to mid-level clouds and light-to-moderate easterly winds are expected to cap insolation and prevent stronger heating. Small differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which explains why the three central outcomes command roughly equal implied probability while tails remain thin. Updated model guidance and real-time observations on the morning of the 18th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,044Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 18 high temperature centers on the narrow 22–24 °C band because current model runs and recent observations show only modest daytime warming under persistent southeasterly flow.** High pressure and onshore winds have kept the city cooler than seasonal norms, with highs on the 16th–17th limited to the mid-teens °C amid widespread cloud cover and dew points near 12–14 °C. Forecasts for the 18th converge on afternoon peaks of 22–24 °C as gradual warming occurs, yet thick low- to mid-level clouds and light-to-moderate easterly winds are expected to cap insolation and prevent stronger heating. Small differences in cloud timing or wind backing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which explains why the three central outcomes command roughly equal implied probability while tails remain thin. Updated model guidance and real-time observations on the morning of the 18th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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