Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 17. September?
28°C 46%
27°C 31%
29°C 13%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
31%
28°C
46%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C oder höher
1%
28°C 46%
27°C 31%
29°C 13%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$243 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$233 Vol.
1%
25°C
$173 Vol.
2%
26°C
$260 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,021 Vol.
31%
28°C
$2,111 Vol.
46%
29°C
$408 Vol.
13%
30°C
$191 Vol.
3%
31°C
$385 Vol.
2%
32°C oder höher
$465 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$5,752Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,752Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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