Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph and low precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus around seasonal norms near 26°C while allowing for modest upward variance from reduced cloud cover or localized heating. Northeast flow off the Sea of Japan and stable high pressure are limiting stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher at low implied probability. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Busan am 16. September?
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 20%
27°C 11%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
11%
28°C
30%
29°C
45%
30°C
20%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C oder höher
1%
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 20%
27°C 11%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
$55 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$273 Vol.
45%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph and low precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus around seasonal norms near 26°C while allowing for modest upward variance from reduced cloud cover or localized heating. Northeast flow off the Sea of Japan and stable high pressure are limiting stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher at low implied probability. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$329Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph and low precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus around seasonal norms near 26°C while allowing for modest upward variance from reduced cloud cover or localized heating. Northeast flow off the Sea of Japan and stable high pressure are limiting stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher at low implied probability. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$329Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Busan on September 16 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph and low precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus around seasonal norms near 26°C while allowing for modest upward variance from reduced cloud cover or localized heating. Northeast flow off the Sea of Japan and stable high pressure are limiting stronger warming, keeping 30°C or higher at low implied probability. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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