Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Austin on September 16 will settle in the mid to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's leading implied probabilities for the 74-75°F and 76-77°F ranges, as the pattern reflects persistent late-summer warmth well above the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 68°F. Recent model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering flow or moisture, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover increases expected to alter the minimum before dawn. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term signals for any shifts in these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 16. September?
74-75°F 43%
88°F oder höher 41%
69°F oder darunter 38%
78-79°F 37%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
69°F oder darunter
38%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
37%
86-87 °F
37%
88°F oder höher
41%
74-75°F 43%
88°F oder höher 41%
69°F oder darunter 38%
78-79°F 37%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
69°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
38%
70-71°F
$567 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$6 Vol.
43%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
37%
86-87 °F
$0 Vol.
37%
88°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Austin on September 16 will settle in the mid to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's leading implied probabilities for the 74-75°F and 76-77°F ranges, as the pattern reflects persistent late-summer warmth well above the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 68°F. Recent model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering flow or moisture, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover increases expected to alter the minimum before dawn. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term signals for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$573Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Austin on September 16 will settle in the mid to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's leading implied probabilities for the 74-75°F and 76-77°F ranges, as the pattern reflects persistent late-summer warmth well above the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 68°F. Recent model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering flow or moisture, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover increases expected to alter the minimum before dawn. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term signals for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$573Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Austin on September 16 will settle in the mid to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This supports the market's leading implied probabilities for the 74-75°F and 76-77°F ranges, as the pattern reflects persistent late-summer warmth well above the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 68°F. Recent model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering flow or moisture, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover increases expected to alter the minimum before dawn. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will provide the key near-term signals for any shifts in these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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