**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under clear, stable high-pressure conditions is the main driver of the closely matched market odds for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 16.** Official and model guidance shows a range of projected lows from roughly 5–11 °C, with several sources indicating dawn readings near 7–8 °C amid light southeast-to-east winds and minimal cloud cover that favors heat loss. Recent high-pressure buildup and dry air have promoted efficient surface cooling, but small differences in wind speed, timing of any northeast shift, or residual moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, keeping probabilities split between an 11 °C+ outcome and colder readings near or below 2 °C while specific mid-range values like 3–6 °C attract steady but lower trader interest. Updated model runs and observational data through the night will be the next key inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 16. September?
11°C oder höher 74%
1°C oder darunter 28%
2°C 25%
4°C 23%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
1°C oder darunter
28%
2°C
25%
3°C
22%
4°C
23%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
2%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C oder höher
74%
11°C oder höher 74%
1°C oder darunter 28%
2°C 25%
4°C 23%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
1°C oder darunter
$201 Vol.
28%
2°C
$0 Vol.
25%
3°C
$0 Vol.
22%
4°C
$0 Vol.
23%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$89 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
13%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under clear, stable high-pressure conditions is the main driver of the closely matched market odds for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 16.** Official and model guidance shows a range of projected lows from roughly 5–11 °C, with several sources indicating dawn readings near 7–8 °C amid light southeast-to-east winds and minimal cloud cover that favors heat loss. Recent high-pressure buildup and dry air have promoted efficient surface cooling, but small differences in wind speed, timing of any northeast shift, or residual moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, keeping probabilities split between an 11 °C+ outcome and colder readings near or below 2 °C while specific mid-range values like 3–6 °C attract steady but lower trader interest. Updated model runs and observational data through the night will be the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$290Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under clear, stable high-pressure conditions is the main driver of the closely matched market odds for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 16.** Official and model guidance shows a range of projected lows from roughly 5–11 °C, with several sources indicating dawn readings near 7–8 °C amid light southeast-to-east winds and minimal cloud cover that favors heat loss. Recent high-pressure buildup and dry air have promoted efficient surface cooling, but small differences in wind speed, timing of any northeast shift, or residual moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, keeping probabilities split between an 11 °C+ outcome and colder readings near or below 2 °C while specific mid-range values like 3–6 °C attract steady but lower trader interest. Updated model runs and observational data through the night will be the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$290Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under clear, stable high-pressure conditions is the main driver of the closely matched market odds for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 16.** Official and model guidance shows a range of projected lows from roughly 5–11 °C, with several sources indicating dawn readings near 7–8 °C amid light southeast-to-east winds and minimal cloud cover that favors heat loss. Recent high-pressure buildup and dry air have promoted efficient surface cooling, but small differences in wind speed, timing of any northeast shift, or residual moisture can shift the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, keeping probabilities split between an 11 °C+ outcome and colder readings near or below 2 °C while specific mid-range values like 3–6 °C attract steady but lower trader interest. Updated model runs and observational data through the night will be the next key inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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