Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 15. September?
72-73°F 59%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 8%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
63°F oder weniger
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
59%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82°F oder höher
1%
72-73°F 59%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 8%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
63°F oder weniger
$10 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$175 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$175 Vol.
59%
74-75°F
$319 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82°F oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$714Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$714Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service point to a high temperature of 70–72°F in New York City on September 15, driven by post-frontal clearing, northerly winds, and high pressure that suppress cloud cover and moisture. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 72–73°F bin at 58.5 percent implied probability, with the 74–75°F outcome at 23 percent reflecting residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current cooler air mass has shifted probabilities downward. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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