Forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Istanbul on September 13 under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered shower potential that could limit peak heating. This setup follows typical early-autumn moderation after warmer September conditions, with afternoon temperatures most likely to crest near midday or early afternoon before cooling. Model consensus supports a modest range around 24–25°C, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength introduce uncertainty in the exact high. Traders currently assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting caution around potential model adjustments or localized cooling from precipitation ahead of the daily peak. Updated short-range guidance and official observations on the day will determine the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 13. September?
22°C 49%
23°C 35%
21°C 11%
24°C 7%
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
49%
23°C
35%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 49%
23°C 35%
21°C 11%
24°C 7%
20°C oder niedriger
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
49%
23°C
35%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Istanbul on September 13 under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered shower potential that could limit peak heating. This setup follows typical early-autumn moderation after warmer September conditions, with afternoon temperatures most likely to crest near midday or early afternoon before cooling. Model consensus supports a modest range around 24–25°C, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength introduce uncertainty in the exact high. Traders currently assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting caution around potential model adjustments or localized cooling from precipitation ahead of the daily peak. Updated short-range guidance and official observations on the day will determine the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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