Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 17. September?
24°C 39%
25°C oder höher 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 5%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
32%
24°C 39%
25°C oder höher 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 5%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$31 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$359 Vol.
2%
22°C
$374 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,998 Vol.
18%
24°C
$693 Vol.
39%
25°C oder höher
$2,155 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,809Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,809Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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