Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 16. September?
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder darunter <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$4,299 Vol.
$4,299 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder darunter <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$4,299 Vol.
$4,299 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$123 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$20 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$22 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$206 Vol.
Ja
14°C
$1,888 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$1,939 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$25 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$25 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$25 Vol.
Nein
19°C oder höher
$25 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$4,299Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,299Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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