Forecast models for Chengdu on September 17 indicate a high near 25–26°C amid persistent showers and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources shows light easterly winds and high humidity, with scattered precipitation expected through the afternoon, which caps peak temperatures by reducing solar radiation. Historical September averages hover around 25°C, and current conditions align with this baseline rather than the warmer late-summer pattern seen earlier in the month. Minor model differences center on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, creating the tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader pricing. Final resolution will depend on verified station observations, with the next 24-hour forecast updates likely to refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. September?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
28°C 19%
25°C 16%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
28°C 19%
25°C 16%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on September 17 indicate a high near 25–26°C amid persistent showers and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources shows light easterly winds and high humidity, with scattered precipitation expected through the afternoon, which caps peak temperatures by reducing solar radiation. Historical September averages hover around 25°C, and current conditions align with this baseline rather than the warmer late-summer pattern seen earlier in the month. Minor model differences center on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, creating the tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader pricing. Final resolution will depend on verified station observations, with the next 24-hour forecast updates likely to refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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