Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu near 19°C on September 17, with daytime highs of 23–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. Persistent high humidity and light winds associated with the East Asian monsoon transition moderate diurnal temperature swings, while the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling keeps minimums well above 15°C. Trader balance between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty over precise nocturnal cooling rates and potential model spread in a season when September climatology typically yields lows of 18–21°C. New observational data and updated runs from regional agencies will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the 24-hour window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. September?
25°C oder höher 71%
15°C oder weniger 62%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C oder weniger
62%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
31%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
71%
25°C oder höher 71%
15°C oder weniger 62%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C oder weniger
62%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
31%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu near 19°C on September 17, with daytime highs of 23–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. Persistent high humidity and light winds associated with the East Asian monsoon transition moderate diurnal temperature swings, while the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling keeps minimums well above 15°C. Trader balance between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty over precise nocturnal cooling rates and potential model spread in a season when September climatology typically yields lows of 18–21°C. New observational data and updated runs from regional agencies will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the 24-hour window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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