Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 16. September?
94-95°F 54%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 16%
88-89°F 3%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
81°F oder niedriger
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
54%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
3%
100°F oder höher
2%
94-95°F 54%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 16%
88-89°F 3%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
81°F oder niedriger
$224 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$193 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$624 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$357 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$188 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$467 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,994 Vol.
28%
94-95°F
$1,270 Vol.
54%
96-97°F
$2,611 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$214 Vol.
3%
100°F oder höher
$170 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,314Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,314Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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