Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 19 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with northeasterly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions after a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and recent daily maxima of 21–25°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and wind strength, creating the primary uncertainty in the exact peak temperature. Trader positioning, with 24°C heavily favored, reflects this narrow range of outcomes and the limited time until resolution, as new observational data and updated model guidance could still shift probabilities before the period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 19. September?
24°C 59%
23°C 37%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
20°C oder darunter
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
20%
23°C
37%
24°C
59%
25°C
27%
26°C
31%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
1%
24°C 59%
23°C 37%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
20°C oder darunter
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
20%
23°C
37%
24°C
59%
25°C
27%
26°C
31%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 19 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with northeasterly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions after a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and recent daily maxima of 21–25°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and wind strength, creating the primary uncertainty in the exact peak temperature. Trader positioning, with 24°C heavily favored, reflects this narrow range of outcomes and the limited time until resolution, as new observational data and updated model guidance could still shift probabilities before the period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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