Forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles show a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 17, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17 °C with light winds of 5–8 m/s and only modest cloud cover or scattered showers. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average of about 15 °C while recent runs have stabilized around the upper end of that range, giving 17 °C a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Minor model spread on exact timing of any rain or afternoon clearing creates the small probability tail for 16 °C or an 18 °C outlier if insolation increases. Updated guidance expected overnight will determine whether traders further consolidate around these two outcomes ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 17. September?
17°C 53%
16°C 42%
18°C 6%
15°C 3%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
42%
17°C
53%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 53%
16°C 42%
18°C 6%
15°C 3%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
$286 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$229 Vol.
2%
15°C
$231 Vol.
3%
16°C
$894 Vol.
42%
17°C
$2,205 Vol.
53%
18°C
$237 Vol.
6%
19°C
$285 Vol.
1%
20°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles show a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 17, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17 °C with light winds of 5–8 m/s and only modest cloud cover or scattered showers. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average of about 15 °C while recent runs have stabilized around the upper end of that range, giving 17 °C a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Minor model spread on exact timing of any rain or afternoon clearing creates the small probability tail for 16 °C or an 18 °C outlier if insolation increases. Updated guidance expected overnight will determine whether traders further consolidate around these two outcomes ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$5,448Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles show a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 17, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17 °C with light winds of 5–8 m/s and only modest cloud cover or scattered showers. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average of about 15 °C while recent runs have stabilized around the upper end of that range, giving 17 °C a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Minor model spread on exact timing of any rain or afternoon clearing creates the small probability tail for 16 °C or an 18 °C outlier if insolation increases. Updated guidance expected overnight will determine whether traders further consolidate around these two outcomes ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,448Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles show a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 17, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17 °C with light winds of 5–8 m/s and only modest cloud cover or scattered showers. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average of about 15 °C while recent runs have stabilized around the upper end of that range, giving 17 °C a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Minor model spread on exact timing of any rain or afternoon clearing creates the small probability tail for 16 °C or an 18 °C outlier if insolation increases. Updated guidance expected overnight will determine whether traders further consolidate around these two outcomes ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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