**Forecast models from multiple sources, including regional meteorological data, consistently project a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 18, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure influences, light winds, and partly cloudy overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling.** This aligns with historical September averages around 24°C but reflects current stability without incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could lower readings further. The closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher extremes highlight trader recognition of forecast uncertainty inherent in short-range modeling—small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could nudge the actual low. Specific bins around 25–27°C carry lower implied probabilities (21–26.5%) as they represent the consensus central tendency, while the market aggregates real-capital bets on resolution criteria tied to official station measurements. Upcoming model runs or overnight observations could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 18. September?
20°C oder darunter 89%
30°C oder höher 89%
27°C 49%
21°C 39%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
89%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
89%
20°C oder darunter 89%
30°C oder höher 89%
27°C 49%
21°C 39%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
89%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$19 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including regional meteorological data, consistently project a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 18, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure influences, light winds, and partly cloudy overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling.**
This aligns with historical September averages around 24°C but reflects current stability without incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could lower readings further. The closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher extremes highlight trader recognition of forecast uncertainty inherent in short-range modeling—small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could nudge the actual low. Specific bins around 25–27°C carry lower implied probabilities (21–26.5%) as they represent the consensus central tendency, while the market aggregates real-capital bets on resolution criteria tied to official station measurements. Upcoming model runs or overnight observations could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$19Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including regional meteorological data, consistently project a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 18, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure influences, light winds, and partly cloudy overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling.**
This aligns with historical September averages around 24°C but reflects current stability without incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could lower readings further. The closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher extremes highlight trader recognition of forecast uncertainty inherent in short-range modeling—small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could nudge the actual low. Specific bins around 25–27°C carry lower implied probabilities (21–26.5%) as they represent the consensus central tendency, while the market aggregates real-capital bets on resolution criteria tied to official station measurements. Upcoming model runs or overnight observations could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including regional meteorological data, consistently project a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 18, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure influences, light winds, and partly cloudy overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling.** This aligns with historical September averages around 24°C but reflects current stability without incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could lower readings further. The closely matched 44.5% market-implied odds on the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher extremes highlight trader recognition of forecast uncertainty inherent in short-range modeling—small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could nudge the actual low. Specific bins around 25–27°C carry lower implied probabilities (21–26.5%) as they represent the consensus central tendency, while the market aggregates real-capital bets on resolution criteria tied to official station measurements. Upcoming model runs or overnight observations could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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