Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicates a Guangzhou overnight low in the 24–27°C range for September 17, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. This positioning creates the near-even split between the 30°C+ and 20°C-or-below outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context, while ongoing model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than any single extreme scenario.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 17. September?
20°C oder weniger 73%
30°C oder höher 73%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
20°C oder weniger
73%
21°C
14%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C oder höher
73%
20°C oder weniger 73%
30°C oder höher 73%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
20°C oder weniger
73%
21°C
14%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C oder höher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicates a Guangzhou overnight low in the 24–27°C range for September 17, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. This positioning creates the near-even split between the 30°C+ and 20°C-or-below outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context, while ongoing model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than any single extreme scenario.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen