**Current atmospheric conditions over eastern China feature stable southerly flow and weak pressure gradients, supporting minimum temperatures near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 19.** Multiple forecast models consistently project overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs of 25–27°C and light to moderate southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. The market’s near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 18–23°C, reflects residual ensemble spread in short-range guidance—particularly regarding possible shifts in coastal marine influence or minor cold-air intrusions. No strong synoptic features, such as typhoon remnants or sharp fronts, are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 19. September?
14°C oder darunter 100%
24°C oder höher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
14°C oder darunter
100%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
98%
14°C oder darunter 100%
24°C oder höher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
14°C oder darunter
100%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current atmospheric conditions over eastern China feature stable southerly flow and weak pressure gradients, supporting minimum temperatures near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 19.** Multiple forecast models consistently project overnight lows in this range under partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs of 25–27°C and light to moderate southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. The market’s near-even split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 18–23°C, reflects residual ensemble spread in short-range guidance—particularly regarding possible shifts in coastal marine influence or minor cold-air intrusions. No strong synoptic features, such as typhoon remnants or sharp fronts, are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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