**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 19. September?
7°C 99.5%
4°C 1.0%
5°C 1.0%
6°C 1.0%
$801 Vol.
$801 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
3°C oder darunter
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Ja
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C oder höher
Nein
7°C 99.5%
4°C 1.0%
5°C 1.0%
6°C 1.0%
$801 Vol.
$801 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
3°C oder darunter
$31 Vol.
Nein
4°C
$0 Vol.
Nein
5°C
$0 Vol.
Nein
6°C
$15 Vol.
Nein
7°C
$15 Vol.
Ja
8°C
$245 Vol.
Nein
9°C
$237 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$147 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$37 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$37 Vol.
Nein
13°C oder höher
$37 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$801Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$801Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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