Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a southwest monsoon pattern dominating western Luzon, producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and high humidity levels near 80-90% on September 22. This setup typically caps daytime heating through reduced insolation while maintaining a warm, moist air mass, with official outlooks projecting daytime maxima of 32-33°C for Metro Manila. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, consistent with climatological September averages near 32°C and the absence of strong steering features or clear-sky anomalies that could push extremes higher or lower. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32-33°C, reflecting trader weighting of these consensus conditions and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 22. September?
33°C 45%
32°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
28°C oder darunter
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
32%
33°C
45%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$121 Vol.
1%
29°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$734 Vol.
5%
31°C
$755 Vol.
15%
32°C
$2,163 Vol.
32%
33°C
$2,411 Vol.
45%
34°C
$676 Vol.
9%
35°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
38°C oder höher
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a southwest monsoon pattern dominating western Luzon, producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and high humidity levels near 80-90% on September 22. This setup typically caps daytime heating through reduced insolation while maintaining a warm, moist air mass, with official outlooks projecting daytime maxima of 32-33°C for Metro Manila. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, consistent with climatological September averages near 32°C and the absence of strong steering features or clear-sky anomalies that could push extremes higher or lower. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32-33°C, reflecting trader weighting of these consensus conditions and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$8,606Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a southwest monsoon pattern dominating western Luzon, producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and high humidity levels near 80-90% on September 22. This setup typically caps daytime heating through reduced insolation while maintaining a warm, moist air mass, with official outlooks projecting daytime maxima of 32-33°C for Metro Manila. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, consistent with climatological September averages near 32°C and the absence of strong steering features or clear-sky anomalies that could push extremes higher or lower. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32-33°C, reflecting trader weighting of these consensus conditions and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,606Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a southwest monsoon pattern dominating western Luzon, producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and high humidity levels near 80-90% on September 22. This setup typically caps daytime heating through reduced insolation while maintaining a warm, moist air mass, with official outlooks projecting daytime maxima of 32-33°C for Metro Manila. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, consistent with climatological September averages near 32°C and the absence of strong steering features or clear-sky anomalies that could push extremes higher or lower. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32-33°C, reflecting trader weighting of these consensus conditions and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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