**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 22 minimum temperature remains evenly split at 50% each for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty amid active southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered thunderstorms limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping typical lows in the 24-26°C range based on recent PAGASA outlooks and model consensus. Light winds and occasional rain further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology where Manila averages around 25°C overnight lows. Key variables include evolving monsoon strength and any model shifts in storm timing or intensity ahead of the date, with fresh guidance from official agencies likely to influence positioning before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 22. September?
21°C oder darunter 100%
31°C oder höher 100%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
21°C oder darunter
100%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
100%
21°C oder darunter 100%
31°C oder höher 100%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
21°C oder darunter
100%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 22 minimum temperature remains evenly split at 50% each for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty amid active southwest monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered thunderstorms limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping typical lows in the 24-26°C range based on recent PAGASA outlooks and model consensus. Light winds and occasional rain further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology where Manila averages around 25°C overnight lows. Key variables include evolving monsoon strength and any model shifts in storm timing or intensity ahead of the date, with fresh guidance from official agencies likely to influence positioning before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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