Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a September 22 high near 26°C in Chengdu under increasing cloud cover and light rain, following a clearer 27–28°C day on the 21st. Persistent high humidity in the Sichuan basin, combined with reduced solar insolation from stratiform clouds and scattered showers, limits daytime heating compared to recent drier conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. A faster clearing trend could push readings toward 27°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 24°C or below, consistent with the current 21–26% probabilities on those outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 22. September?
25°C 26%
26°C 23%
24°C 22%
27°C 17%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 26%
26°C 23%
24°C 22%
27°C 17%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$27 Vol.
7%
23°C
$42 Vol.
10%
24°C
$639 Vol.
22%
25°C
$86 Vol.
26%
26°C
$40 Vol.
23%
27°C
$40 Vol.
16%
28°C
$172 Vol.
7%
29°C
$40 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a September 22 high near 26°C in Chengdu under increasing cloud cover and light rain, following a clearer 27–28°C day on the 21st. Persistent high humidity in the Sichuan basin, combined with reduced solar insolation from stratiform clouds and scattered showers, limits daytime heating compared to recent drier conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. A faster clearing trend could push readings toward 27°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 24°C or below, consistent with the current 21–26% probabilities on those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,309Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a September 22 high near 26°C in Chengdu under increasing cloud cover and light rain, following a clearer 27–28°C day on the 21st. Persistent high humidity in the Sichuan basin, combined with reduced solar insolation from stratiform clouds and scattered showers, limits daytime heating compared to recent drier conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. A faster clearing trend could push readings toward 27°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 24°C or below, consistent with the current 21–26% probabilities on those outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,309Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a September 22 high near 26°C in Chengdu under increasing cloud cover and light rain, following a clearer 27–28°C day on the 21st. Persistent high humidity in the Sichuan basin, combined with reduced solar insolation from stratiform clouds and scattered showers, limits daytime heating compared to recent drier conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread in precipitation timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. A faster clearing trend could push readings toward 27°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 24°C or below, consistent with the current 21–26% probabilities on those outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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