Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature near 34–35°C on September 20, moderated by persistent monsoon moisture, high relative humidity near 80%, and scattered cloud cover with a chance of light drizzle or thunderstorms. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer pre-monsoon periods, aligning with observed highs of 32–34°C in the prior 48 hours. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 34°C and 36.5% for 33°C, incorporates this atmospheric setup and historical September climatology around 32–34°C, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher account for potential breaks in cloud cover. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will refine resolution around the 33–34°C threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 20. September?
34°C 50%
33°C 37%
35°C 10%
32°C 5%
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
37%
34°C
50%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
1%
34°C 50%
33°C 37%
35°C 10%
32°C 5%
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
37%
34°C
50%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature near 34–35°C on September 20, moderated by persistent monsoon moisture, high relative humidity near 80%, and scattered cloud cover with a chance of light drizzle or thunderstorms. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer pre-monsoon periods, aligning with observed highs of 32–34°C in the prior 48 hours. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 34°C and 36.5% for 33°C, incorporates this atmospheric setup and historical September climatology around 32–34°C, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher account for potential breaks in cloud cover. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will refine resolution around the 33–34°C threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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