Recent forecast models indicate a maximum near 32–33°C for Lucknow on September 19, with trader-implied odds clustering there amid uncertainty in cloud cover and convective activity. Lingering monsoon moisture supports scattered thunderstorms and increased humidity that can suppress peak daytime heating, while light northwest winds and partial clearing allow temperatures to reach the low 30s under stronger insolation. Historical September baselines average 33°C highs, but short-term model runs show divergence on exact timing of any showers, which could cap readings at 31°C or push them toward 34°C depending on boundary-layer conditions. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 19. September?
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 12%
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
36%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C oder höher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 12%
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
36%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a maximum near 32–33°C for Lucknow on September 19, with trader-implied odds clustering there amid uncertainty in cloud cover and convective activity. Lingering monsoon moisture supports scattered thunderstorms and increased humidity that can suppress peak daytime heating, while light northwest winds and partial clearing allow temperatures to reach the low 30s under stronger insolation. Historical September baselines average 33°C highs, but short-term model runs show divergence on exact timing of any showers, which could cap readings at 31°C or push them toward 34°C depending on boundary-layer conditions. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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