Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Wellington on September 19 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit peak solar heating while allowing modest advection of milder air. This setup aligns with spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where September climatological highs average around 12–13°C yet current patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 16°C and 32% for 17°C, tracks the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or stronger winds. Updated MetService forecasts or real-time observations tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs for market adjustment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 19. September?
16°C 62%
17°C 29%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
NEU
$17,454 Vol.
NEU
$17,454 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
62%
17°C
29%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 62%
17°C 29%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
NEU
$17,454 Vol.
NEU
$17,454 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$261 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$911 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$952 Vol.
2%
15°C
$3,687 Vol.
6%
16°C
$8,371 Vol.
62%
17°C
$1,349 Vol.
29%
18°C
$648 Vol.
1%
19°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
20°C oder höher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Wellington on September 19 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit peak solar heating while allowing modest advection of milder air. This setup aligns with spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where September climatological highs average around 12–13°C yet current patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 16°C and 32% for 17°C, tracks the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or stronger winds. Updated MetService forecasts or real-time observations tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs for market adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$17,454Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Wellington on September 19 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit peak solar heating while allowing modest advection of milder air. This setup aligns with spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where September climatological highs average around 12–13°C yet current patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 16°C and 32% for 17°C, tracks the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or stronger winds. Updated MetService forecasts or real-time observations tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs for market adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,454Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Wellington on September 19 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit peak solar heating while allowing modest advection of milder air. This setup aligns with spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where September climatological highs average around 12–13°C yet current patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Low precipitation probabilities further stabilize the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 16°C and 32% for 17°C, tracks the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside potential from unexpected clearing or stronger winds. Updated MetService forecasts or real-time observations tomorrow morning represent the next key inputs for market adjustment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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