Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 17–19°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by easterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after a warmer September 18. This setup aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 17°C (45%) and 18°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on the most likely maximum amid typical model spread of a few degrees. Historical averages near 21°C provide context, but the current pattern favors below-normal values, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts as the main variables that could push readings toward 19°C or hold them at 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 19. September?
17°C 45%
18°C 34%
16°C 11%
19°C 6%
NEU
$11,779 Vol.
NEU
$11,779 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
11%
17°C
45%
18°C
34%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 34%
16°C 11%
19°C 6%
NEU
$11,779 Vol.
NEU
$11,779 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$55 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$592 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,860 Vol.
11%
17°C
$1,785 Vol.
45%
18°C
$4,436 Vol.
34%
19°C
$918 Vol.
6%
20°C
$668 Vol.
1%
21°C
$815 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 17–19°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by easterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after a warmer September 18. This setup aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 17°C (45%) and 18°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on the most likely maximum amid typical model spread of a few degrees. Historical averages near 21°C provide context, but the current pattern favors below-normal values, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts as the main variables that could push readings toward 19°C or hold them at 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$11,779Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 17–19°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by easterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after a warmer September 18. This setup aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 17°C (45%) and 18°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on the most likely maximum amid typical model spread of a few degrees. Historical averages near 21°C provide context, but the current pattern favors below-normal values, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts as the main variables that could push readings toward 19°C or hold them at 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,779Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 17–19°C for Toronto on September 19, driven by easterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating after a warmer September 18. This setup aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 17°C (45%) and 18°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on the most likely maximum amid typical model spread of a few degrees. Historical averages near 21°C provide context, but the current pattern favors below-normal values, with any late-day clearing or wind shifts as the main variables that could push readings toward 19°C or hold them at 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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