Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 22. September?
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 17%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
26°C oder weniger
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
22%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
25%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
4%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 17%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$14 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$6 Vol.
12%
31°C
$6 Vol.
22%
32°C
$85 Vol.
29%
33°C
$101 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
25%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$212Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$212Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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