Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daily minimum temperature in Dallas on September 22 most likely falling between 74°F and 79°F, with the 76–77°F bin holding the highest market-implied probability. This range reflects a moderating air mass under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-September radiative cooling rates after daytime highs near 90°F. Subtle differences among leading bins stem from minor variations in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could trim or elevate overnight lows by 1–3°F. Historical climatology shows average September 22 minima around 68–72°F, so the current consensus implies slightly warmer conditions driven by persistent southerly flow and limited clear-sky cooling. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions expected over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 22. September?
76-77°F 24%
74-75 °F 21%
78-79 °F 21%
72-73°F 19%
65°F oder darunter
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75 °F
21%
76-77°F
24%
78-79 °F
21%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
11%
84°F oder höher
7%
76-77°F 24%
74-75 °F 21%
78-79 °F 21%
72-73°F 19%
65°F oder darunter
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75 °F
21%
76-77°F
24%
78-79 °F
21%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
11%
84°F oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daily minimum temperature in Dallas on September 22 most likely falling between 74°F and 79°F, with the 76–77°F bin holding the highest market-implied probability. This range reflects a moderating air mass under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-September radiative cooling rates after daytime highs near 90°F. Subtle differences among leading bins stem from minor variations in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could trim or elevate overnight lows by 1–3°F. Historical climatology shows average September 22 minima around 68–72°F, so the current consensus implies slightly warmer conditions driven by persistent southerly flow and limited clear-sky cooling. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions expected over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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