Short-term forecast models from the National Weather Service show a tight spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Miami on September 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between roughly 72°F and 79°F. This narrow range reflects typical late-September subtropical conditions, where the Atlantic and Gulf moderating influences, combined with variable cloud cover and light wind regimes, limit radiative cooling at night. Sea-breeze circulation and boundary-layer moisture further constrain how low temperatures can drop, while any increase in onshore flow or lingering tropical moisture could nudge readings slightly higher. With no strong frontal passage or major synoptic shift expected in the next 48 hours, traders see comparable likelihood across the central bins, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact diurnal minimum at this lead time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 22. September?
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 37%
76-77°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
69°F oder weniger
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 37%
76-77°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
69°F oder weniger
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from the National Weather Service show a tight spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Miami on September 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between roughly 72°F and 79°F. This narrow range reflects typical late-September subtropical conditions, where the Atlantic and Gulf moderating influences, combined with variable cloud cover and light wind regimes, limit radiative cooling at night. Sea-breeze circulation and boundary-layer moisture further constrain how low temperatures can drop, while any increase in onshore flow or lingering tropical moisture could nudge readings slightly higher. With no strong frontal passage or major synoptic shift expected in the next 48 hours, traders see comparable likelihood across the central bins, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact diurnal minimum at this lead time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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