Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 20. September?
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C oder niedriger <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
5°C oder niedriger
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Ja
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C oder höher
Nein
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C oder niedriger <1%
$4,289 Vol.
$4,289 Vol.
5°C oder niedriger
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Ja
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen