Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 15. September?
5°C oder niedriger 98%
15°C oder höher 98%
6°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
5°C oder niedriger
98%
6°C
40%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C oder höher
98%
5°C oder niedriger 98%
15°C oder höher 98%
6°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
5°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
98%
6°C
$10 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$10 Vol.
40%
14°C
$10 Vol.
40%
15°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$50Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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