Short-term forecast uncertainty for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders pricing in roughly equal chances for sub-21°C readings versus 31°C or higher. Monsoon conditions remain active across Uttar Pradesh, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels above 80%, and light winds from the Bay of Bengal circulation strongly influence nocturnal radiative cooling. Clearer breaks could allow temperatures to drop toward seasonal lows near 22–24°C, while persistent overcast skies or late rainfall would suppress cooling and keep minima elevated. India Meteorological Department model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, typical for early September transition periods. Updated guidance on cloud trends and precipitation timing through the next 24 hours will likely shift these probabilities most directly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 15. September?
21°C oder darunter 68%
31°C oder höher 68%
26°C 44%
24°C 22%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
68%
22°C
13%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
30%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C oder höher
68%
21°C oder darunter 68%
31°C oder höher 68%
26°C 44%
24°C 22%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$10 Vol.
68%
22°C
$10 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$10 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$10 Vol.
17%
30°C
$10 Vol.
17%
31°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders pricing in roughly equal chances for sub-21°C readings versus 31°C or higher. Monsoon conditions remain active across Uttar Pradesh, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels above 80%, and light winds from the Bay of Bengal circulation strongly influence nocturnal radiative cooling. Clearer breaks could allow temperatures to drop toward seasonal lows near 22–24°C, while persistent overcast skies or late rainfall would suppress cooling and keep minima elevated. India Meteorological Department model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, typical for early September transition periods. Updated guidance on cloud trends and precipitation timing through the next 24 hours will likely shift these probabilities most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$60Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders pricing in roughly equal chances for sub-21°C readings versus 31°C or higher. Monsoon conditions remain active across Uttar Pradesh, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels above 80%, and light winds from the Bay of Bengal circulation strongly influence nocturnal radiative cooling. Clearer breaks could allow temperatures to drop toward seasonal lows near 22–24°C, while persistent overcast skies or late rainfall would suppress cooling and keep minima elevated. India Meteorological Department model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, typical for early September transition periods. Updated guidance on cloud trends and precipitation timing through the next 24 hours will likely shift these probabilities most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$60Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty for Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 15 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders pricing in roughly equal chances for sub-21°C readings versus 31°C or higher. Monsoon conditions remain active across Uttar Pradesh, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels above 80%, and light winds from the Bay of Bengal circulation strongly influence nocturnal radiative cooling. Clearer breaks could allow temperatures to drop toward seasonal lows near 22–24°C, while persistent overcast skies or late rainfall would suppress cooling and keep minima elevated. India Meteorological Department model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, typical for early September transition periods. Updated guidance on cloud trends and precipitation timing through the next 24 hours will likely shift these probabilities most directly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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