Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 15 projects overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s°F amid persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow that limits significant cold-air advection. Recent Saharan dust outbreaks have suppressed afternoon convection, helping sustain warmer minimum temperatures compared with the historical September average low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. With no strong frontal passages expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 71°F or below likely incorporates model spread around potential brief radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts from agencies like NOAA. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings over the next day could shift these odds if drier air arrives earlier than anticipated.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 15. September?
71°F oder weniger 46%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 37%
76-77°F 37%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
71°F oder weniger
46%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
1%
71°F oder weniger 46%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 37%
76-77°F 37%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
71°F oder weniger
$6 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
37%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
37%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
37%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
37%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 15 projects overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s°F amid persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow that limits significant cold-air advection. Recent Saharan dust outbreaks have suppressed afternoon convection, helping sustain warmer minimum temperatures compared with the historical September average low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. With no strong frontal passages expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 71°F or below likely incorporates model spread around potential brief radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts from agencies like NOAA. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings over the next day could shift these odds if drier air arrives earlier than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$6Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 15 projects overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s°F amid persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow that limits significant cold-air advection. Recent Saharan dust outbreaks have suppressed afternoon convection, helping sustain warmer minimum temperatures compared with the historical September average low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. With no strong frontal passages expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 71°F or below likely incorporates model spread around potential brief radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts from agencies like NOAA. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings over the next day could shift these odds if drier air arrives earlier than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 15 projects overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s°F amid persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow that limits significant cold-air advection. Recent Saharan dust outbreaks have suppressed afternoon convection, helping sustain warmer minimum temperatures compared with the historical September average low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. With no strong frontal passages expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 71°F or below likely incorporates model spread around potential brief radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts from agencies like NOAA. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings over the next day could shift these odds if drier air arrives earlier than anticipated.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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